I am going to use my model and track prediction accuracy for beating Vegas for 2023. Picks will be tracked at predictions.collegefootballdata.com. 2 accounts will be used to track the model:

• @PlPredict_all for all FBS games, and
• @playoffPredict for high-confidence games per the model, additionally
• @cfb_vegas_line for the Tuesday (opening Vegas line)

Definition of high confidence is >= 7.5 points difference between Vegas line and computer model. Only applies after week 2 (weeks 3 till end of season)

Model will not be updated within a week (picks locked on Tuesday)

u/nevilleaga is going to pick all games using the trailing 15 weeks of data (meaning if it is week3 using week 1-2 data from 2023 and using week 3-17 data from 2022

use @CiscoNeville to mess with any personal ideas. One example is looking at the line and predicting something close to the line skewed by the method

Results published here as comments